MMA Fight Preview: Carli Judice (3-2) vs. Yuneisy Duben (6-0-0-1)

The upcoming MMA match between Carli Judice and Yuneisy Duben at UFC Fight Night 254 on Saturday, March 15, 2025, is set to be an intriguing contest in the women’s flyweight division.

Fighter Overview

Carli Judice (“Crispy”)

Record: 3-2-0

Height: 5’7″

Weight: 125 lbs

Reach: 68″

Stance: Southpaw

Striking Accuracy: 54%

Takedown Accuracy: 25%

Submission Average: 0.0 per 15 minutes

Yuneisy Duben

Record: 6-0-0 (1 NC)

Height: 5’4″

Weight: 125 lbs

Reach: 65″

Stance: Orthodox

Striking Accuracy: 64%

Takedown Accuracy: 0%

Submission Average: 0.0 per 15 minutes

Recent Form

Carli Judice

Judice is coming off a loss to Gabriella Fernandes, where she struggled with pressure. Despite this, she has shown resilience and the ability to go the full three rounds. Her striking accuracy and defensive responsibility make her a tough opponent.

Yuneisy Duben

Duben has been a wrecking ball in her career, finishing most of her fights in the first round. Her striking numbers are off the charts, landing over twenty significant strikes per minute. However, her defense is leaky, absorbing over eleven strikes per minute, which could be a concern against a disciplined striker like Judice.

Key Statistics

Strikes Landed per Minute (SLpM): Duben 20.55, Judice 11.23

Striking Defense: Duben 41%, Judice 52%

Takedown Defense: Duben 0%, Judice 70%

Matchup Breakdown

Offense vs. Defense

Duben’s offensive output is absurd, but it comes with defensive liabilities. She lands at a high clip but also takes significant damage in return, which could be an issue if the fight goes past round one. Judice doesn’t throw nearly as much volume, but she picks her shots well and has a three-inch reach advantage to work with. If she plays it smart and stays on the outside, she could make this a frustrating fight for Duben.

The biggest gap here is in the grappling. Duben has never attempted a takedown in her professional career and has a big zero in takedown defense. Judice doesn’t have dominant wrestling, but she averages one takedown per fifteen minutes and has a respectable seventy percent takedown defense.

Carli Judice                                         + 135

Yuneisy Duben                                  – 155

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 14, 2025