MMA Fight Preview: Andre Lima (10-0) vs. Daniel Barez (17-6)

The upcoming MMA match between Andre Lima and Daniel Barez at UFC Fight Night 254 on Saturday, March 15, 2025, is set to be a high-stakes showdown in the flyweight division.

Fighter Overview

Andre Lima (“Mascote”)

Record: 10-0-0

Height: 5’7″

Weight: 125 lbs

Reach: 67″

Stance: Orthodox

Striking Accuracy: 55%

Takedown Accuracy: 66%

Submission Average: 1.1 per 15 minutes

Daniel Barez

Record: 17-6-0

Height: 5’6″

Weight: 125 lbs

Reach: 66″

Stance: Orthodox

Striking Accuracy: 52%

Takedown Accuracy: 31%

Submission Average: 0.9 per 15 minutes

Recent Form

Andre Lima

Lima remains unbeaten, showcasing his striking accuracy and grappling efficiency in his recent victory over Felipe dos Santos. He has absorbed just 2.48 strikes per minute, significantly lower than Barez’s 5.05, which suggests he’s much harder to hit clean.

Daniel Barez

Barez is coming off a win over Altamirano, a solid performance that showcased his ability to push a high pace and mix in takedowns. Despite being the underdog, Barez has picked up wins in four of his last five fights and is no stranger to grinding out victories.

Key Statistics

Strikes Landed per Minute (SLpM): Barez 4.10, Lima 3.03

Striking Defense: Both fighters have a striking defense of 57%

Takedown Defense: Barez 92%, Lima 73%

Matchup Breakdown

Striking vs. Grappling

Barez is the more active striker, landing 4.10 significant strikes per minute versus Lima’s 3.03, but efficiency is where Lima shines. With a 55% striking accuracy to Barez’s 52%, Lima picks his shots well and avoids unnecessary exchanges.

The wrestling numbers tell another story. Lima has a much higher takedown accuracy at 66%, but Barez’s 92% takedown defense could keep this fight standing. If Barez forces Lima into striking battles and stuffs the takedown attempts, he could find success as the fight progresses. However, if Lima gets on top, his 1.1 submissions per 15 minutes suggest he’s a real threat on the mat.

Andre Lima                                         – 330

Daniel Barez                                       + 280

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday March 14, 2025