MMA Match Preview: Ivan Erslan (14-4, 0-1 UFC) vs. Navajo Stirling (6-0, 1-0 UFC)
Date: May 10, 2025
Event: UFC 315
Venue: Bell Centre, Montreal, Canada
Division: Light Heavyweight (205 lbs)
Broadcast: ESPN+ Pay-Per-View
Fight Overview
Ivan Erslan (14-4, 0-1 UFC) takes on Navajo Stirling (6-0, 1-0 UFC) in a light heavyweight showdown at UFC 315. Stirling, an undefeated prospect from New Zealand, looks to continue his rise in the division after a successful UFC debut. Meanwhile, Erslan, a seasoned veteran, aims to secure his first UFC victory after a split-decision loss to Ion Cutelaba in his debut.
Fighter Profiles
Navajo Stirling (“The Kiwi Phenom”)
- Record: 6-0 (1-0 UFC)
- Age: 27
- Height: 6’4″
- Reach: 79″
- Fighting Style: Technical striker with strong takedown defense
- Key Strengths: Precision striking, athleticism, patience in exchanges
- Recent Fight: Won via unanimous decision against George Tokkos
Stirling is a high-level athlete who has developed his skills at City Kickboxing, the same gym that produced Israel Adesanya and Alexander Volkanovski. He prefers a measured approach, using his reach and striking accuracy to control fights. His UFC debut showcased his ability to stay composed and pick apart opponents, though he didn’t find a finish against Tokkos.
Ivan Erslan (“The Croatian Powerhouse”)
- Record: 14-4 (0-1 UFC)
- Age: 33
- Height: 6’2″
- Reach: 72″
- Fighting Style: Aggressive striker with knockout power
- Key Strengths: Heavy hands, durability, experience against top competition
- Recent Fight: Lost via split decision to Ion Cutelaba
Erslan is a dangerous puncher who has competed in regional promotions across Europe before signing with the UFC. While he has the ability to end fights with one punch, he has struggled against larger, more athletic opponents. His loss to Cutelaba showed his durability, but he was unable to impose his striking game effectively.
Statistical Comparison
| Fighter | Strikes Landed Per Minute | Striking Accuracy | Takedown Average | Takedown Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navajo Stirling | 5.82 | 56% | 0.70 per 15 min | 72% |
| Ivan Erslan | 2.60 | 56% | 0.50 per 15 min | 75% |
Stirling has the clear edge in striking volume, while Erslan’s takedown defense could help him stay competitive.
Fight Breakdown & Prediction
1. Can Erslan’s Power Test Stirling?
Erslan has the ability to end fights with one punch, but Stirling’s reach and movement could neutralize his offense.
2. Stirling’s Technical Approach
Stirling doesn’t rush for finishes, preferring to control fights with precision striking. If he dictates the pace, he could cruise to another decision win.
FIGHT ODDS
Ivan Erslan + 240
Navajo Stirling – 300
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 9, 2025
