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MMA Fight Preview: Melquizael Costa (22-7) vs. Christian Rodriguez (12-2)

The featherweight bout between Melquizael Costa and Christian Rodriguez at UFC on ESPN 64 is shaping up to be an exciting clash of styles and momentum.

Fight Details

  • Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
  • Time: Prelims start at 4:00 PM ET; Costa and Rodriguez are expected to walk out around 5:50 PM ET.
  • Venue: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico
  • Broadcast: ESPN2, ESPN+

Fighter Overview

Melquizael Costa (22-7)

The 28-year-old Brazilian fighter, nicknamed “Melk Cauthy,” is riding a two-fight winning streak, with recent victories over Shayilan Nuerdanbieke and Andre Fili. Costa is known for his aggressive striking and submission skills, making him a versatile and dangerous opponent. With 29 professional fights under his belt, Costa brings a wealth of experience and a relentless pace to the octagon.

Key Stats:

  • Height: 5’10”
  • Reach: 71″
  • Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.70
  • Striking Accuracy: 46%
  • Submission Attempts: 1.3 per 15 minutes

Christian Rodriguez (12-2)

The 27-year-old American fighter, representing Roufusport MMA, has been on a roll, winning five of his last six fights. Rodriguez is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Austin Bashi and has built a reputation as a “hype killer,” defeating several undefeated prospects. Known for his well-rounded skill set, Rodriguez combines sharp striking with solid wrestling, making him a tough matchup for any opponent.

Key Stats:

  • Height: 5’7″
  • Reach: 71.5″
  • Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.54
  • Striking Accuracy: 48%
  • Takedown Defense: 69%

Matchup Analysis

Melquizael Costa’s Strengths

  • Aggressive Striking: Costa’s ability to push the pace and land significant strikes makes him a threat on the feet.
  • Submission Skills: With a knack for finding submissions, Costa is dangerous if the fight goes to the ground.
  • Experience: With nearly 30 professional fights, Costa’s experience gives him an edge in high-pressure situations.

Christian Rodriguez’s Strengths

  • Well-Rounded Game: Rodriguez’s ability to mix striking and wrestling makes him a versatile fighter.
  • Defensive Skills: With solid takedown defense and striking accuracy, Rodriguez is adept at neutralizing his opponents’ strengths.
  • Momentum: Rodriguez’s recent performances have showcased his ability to adapt and excel against tough competition.

Key Matchups

  • Striking Battle: Costa’s aggressive striking will be tested against Rodriguez’s technical and defensive striking.
  • Grappling vs. Wrestling: Costa’s submission skills will clash with Rodriguez’s wrestling and takedown defense.
  • Cardio and Altitude: The high altitude of Mexico City could impact both fighters’ cardio, but Rodriguez has been training in Mexico to acclimate to the conditions.
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