MMA Match Preview: Paulo Costa (14-4) vs. Roman Kopylov (14-3)
Fight Details
Event: UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
Time: 9:00 PM ET (Main Card)
Venue: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana
Weight Class: Middleweight (185 lbs / 83.9 kg)
Broadcast: ESPN+ PPV
Fighter Profiles
Fighter | Paulo Costa | Roman Kopylov |
Nickname | “Borrachinha” | — |
Record | 14-4-0 | 14-3-0 |
Age | 34 | 33 |
Height | 6’1″ | 6’0″ |
Reach | 72″ | 75″ |
Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
UFC Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Costa was once a title contender with explosive power and a relentless forward style.
Kopylov is a surging striker with 12 of his 14 wins coming by KO/TKO.
Recent Form & Momentum
Paulo Costa – Last 5 Fights
Loss vs. Sean Strickland (Jun 2024)
Loss vs. Robert Whittaker (Feb 2024)
Win vs. Luke Rockhold (Aug 2022)
Loss vs. Marvin Vettori (Oct 2021)
Loss vs. Israel Adesanya (Sep 2020)
Roman Kopylov – Last 5 Fights
Win vs. Chris Curtis (Jan 2025)
Win vs. Cesar Almeida (Jun 2024)
Loss vs. Anthony Hernandez (Feb 2024)
Win vs. Josh Fremd (Sep 2023)
Win vs. Claudio Ribeiro (Jul 2023)
Kopylov enters on a two-fight win streak, while Costa has lost four of his last five, raising questions about his trajectory.
Tactical Breakdown
Paulo Costa
Strengths: Brutal body shots, high-volume striking (6.22 significant strikes/min), physicality
Weaknesses: Defensive lapses (absorbs 6.56 strikes/min), inconsistent fight week preparation
Strategy: Pressure early, target Kopylov’s body, avoid prolonged exchanges
Roman Kopylov
Strengths: Crisp boxing, knockout power, composure under fire
Weaknesses: Limited grappling, slower footwork
Strategy: Counter Costa’s aggression, exploit defensive gaps, finish inside two rounds
FIGHT ODDS
Paulo Costa + 200
Roman Kopylov – 245
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 18, 2025