MMA Match Preview: Patchy Mix (20-1-0) vs. Mario Bautista (15-2-0)

Fight Overview

The UFC 316 main card features a high-stakes bantamweight clash between Patchy Mix, the former Bellator champion making his UFC debut, and Mario Bautista, a surging contender riding a seven-fight winning streak. Mix enters the UFC after a dominant run in Bellator, where he captured the bantamweight title and defended it against elite competition. Bautista, meanwhile, has established himself as a top-10 UFC bantamweight, most recently securing a split-decision victory over Jose Aldo at UFC 307. This matchup presents a classic grappler vs. striker battle, with Mix’s elite submission skills facing off against Bautista’s high-volume striking and takedown defense.

Fighter Profiles & Key Stats

Patchy Mix (20-1-0) – Former Bellator Bantamweight Champion

Age: 31

Height: 5’11”

Reach: 71″

Stance: Orthodox

Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu & Wrestling

Recent Fights:

Win vs. Magomed Magomedov (Decision) – Bellator 301

Win vs. Sergio Pettis (KO, Round 2) – Bellator 297

Win vs. Raufeon Stots (Submission, Round 1) – Bellator Grand Prix Final

Analysis: Mix is a dominant grappler, known for his ability to take opponents’ backs and finish fights with chokes. His submission game is among the best in MMA, making him a dangerous threat if the fight goes to the ground.

Mario Bautista (15-2-0) – UFC Bantamweight Contender

Age: 31

Height: 5’9″

Reach: 69″

Stance: Orthodox

Fighting Style: Kickboxing & Wrestling

Recent Fights:

Win vs. Jose Aldo (Decision) – UFC 307

Win vs. Brian Kelleher (Submission, Round 1) – UFC Fight Night

Win vs. Guido Cannetti (TKO, Round 1) – UFC 299

Analysis: Bautista is a high-volume striker with solid takedown defense. His ability to keep fights standing and outwork opponents makes him a tough challenge for grapplers like Mix.

Fight Breakdown & Strategy

Striking Battle

Bautista has better boxing and kickboxing, but Mix’s long reach could help him in exchanges.

If Bautista keeps the fight standing, he has a strong chance to outpoint Mix over three rounds.

Grappling & Takedowns

Mix dominates in takedowns, averaging 3.5 per fight.

Bautista’s takedown defense (70%) will be tested against Mix’s relentless pressure.

Cardio & Durability

Mix has elite endurance, making him dangerous in later rounds.

Bautista has never been finished in the UFC, proving his durability.

FIGHT ODDS

Patchy Mix                         – 180

Mario Bautista                  + 160

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 6, 2025