MMA Match Preview: Paddy Pimblett (22-3, 6-0 UFC) vs. Michael Chandler (23-9, 2-4 UFC)

Paddy Pimblett and Michael Chandler are set to collide in a highly anticipated lightweight bout at UFC 314 on Saturday, April 12, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. This co-main event promises fireworks as two of the most dynamic and entertaining fighters in the division face off. The fight is scheduled for five rounds, adding endurance as a key factor in determining the winner.

Fighter Overview

Paddy Pimblett (22-3, 6-0 UFC): Known as “The Baddy,” Pimblett has quickly become one of the UFC’s most popular fighters, thanks to his charismatic personality and exciting fighting style. Undefeated in his UFC career, Pimblett has showcased his grappling prowess with four finishes, including a recent submission victory over Bobby Green. Pimblett’s confidence is sky-high, and he believes his submission game is among the best in the division. This fight represents a significant step up in competition for Pimblett, as he faces a seasoned veteran in Chandler.

Michael Chandler (23-9, 2-4 UFC): A former three-time Bellator Lightweight Champion, Chandler is known for his explosive power and relentless pace. Despite his recent struggles in the UFC, including losses to elite fighters like Charles Oliveira and Justin Gaethje, Chandler remains a dangerous opponent. His highlight-reel knockouts, including a spectacular front-kick KO of Tony Ferguson, have cemented his reputation as one of the most exciting fighters in the sport. Chandler enters this fight looking to halt Pimblett’s rise and reestablish himself as a top contender.

Key Factors to Watch

Striking vs. Grappling: Pimblett’s grappling-heavy approach contrasts with Chandler’s explosive striking. The fight may hinge on whether Pimblett can take the fight to the ground or if Chandler can keep it standing and land his powerful shots.

Experience vs. Momentum: Chandler’s experience against elite competition gives him an edge in high-pressure situations, while Pimblett’s undefeated UFC record and momentum make him a formidable challenge.

Cardio and Endurance: With the fight scheduled for five rounds, both fighters’ cardio will be tested. Pimblett’s ability to maintain his pace and Chandler’s tendency to start fast but fade in later rounds could play a significant role.

Tactical Analysis

Paddy Pimblett: Pimblett will aim to close the distance and utilize his grappling to neutralize Chandler’s striking. His submission skills and ability to control opponents on the ground will be key. Pimblett’s confidence in his chin and durability will also be tested against Chandler’s power.

Michael Chandler: Chandler’s path to victory likely involves keeping the fight standing and using his explosive striking to land significant damage. His wrestling background could also help him defend against Pimblett’s takedowns and control the fight in clinch situations.

Matchup Insights

Pimblett has finished 16 of his 22 wins, with 9 submissions and 7 knockouts, showcasing his versatility.

Chandler has 17 finishes in his career, including 11 knockouts, highlighting his power and aggression.

Pimblett has never been knocked out, while Chandler has shown vulnerability in striking exchanges against elite opponents.

Paddy Pimblett – 148                     Michael Chandler + 124

Over 1.5 – 210                                  Under 1.5 + 160

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 11, 2025