MMA Match Preview: Kelvin Gastelum (20-9-0, 1 NC) vs. Joe Pyfer (13-3-0)

Fight Overview

The UFC 316 main card features a compelling middleweight showdown between Kelvin Gastelum, a former interim title challenger, and rising contender Joe Pyfer, who is looking to break into the division’s elite. Gastelum, known for his durability and striking, is coming off a mixed run of performances, while Pyfer has been on a tear, finishing opponents with his knockout power and aggressive style. This fight was originally scheduled for UFC Mexico City, but Pyfer withdrew due to illness, leading to its rescheduling for UFC 316. Pyfer has been vocal about his confidence heading into the fight, calling Gastelum a “layup” matchup and expressing his desire to be the first fighter to knock him out. Gastelum, however, remains a battle-tested veteran who has faced some of the best in the division.

Fighter Profiles & Key Stats

Kelvin Gastelum (20-9-0, 1 NC) – Former Interim Title Challenger

Age: 33

Height: 5’9″

Reach: 71.5″

Stance: Southpaw

Fighting Style: Boxing & Wrestling

Recent Fights:

Loss vs. Sean Strickland (Decision) – Jan 2025

Win vs. Chris Curtis (Decision) – April 2024

Loss vs. Jared Cannonier (Decision) – Aug 2023

Analysis: Gastelum is a durable striker with solid wrestling, but his recent performances have been inconsistent. His ability to absorb damage and push forward makes him dangerous, but he will need to avoid Pyfer’s power shots early.

Joe Pyfer (13-3-0) – Rising Middleweight Contender

Age: 28

Height: 6’1″

Reach: 75″

Stance: Orthodox

Fighting Style: Power Striking & Wrestling

Recent Fights:

Win vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (KO, Round 1) – Feb 2025

Loss vs. Jack Hermansson (Decision) – June 2024

Win vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan (KO, Round 2) – Oct 2023

Analysis: Pyfer is a powerful striker with knockout ability, averaging 4.2 significant strikes per minute. His aggressive forward pressure makes him dangerous, but his gas tank and grappling defense will be tested against Gastelum.

Fight Breakdown & Strategy

Striking Battle

Gastelum has better technical boxing, but Pyfer’s power advantage could be decisive.

If Gastelum keeps the fight at range, he could outpoint Pyfer over five rounds.

Grappling & Takedowns

Pyfer has solid wrestling, but Gastelum’s defensive grappling could neutralize him.

If Pyfer secures early takedowns, he could control the fight on the ground.

Cardio & Durability

Gastelum has elite endurance, making him dangerous in later rounds.

Pyfer has never fought past three rounds, which could be a factor.

FIGHT ODDS

Kelvin Gastelum              + 300

Joe Pyfer                              + 380

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 6, 2025