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MMA Match Preview: Julian Erosa (31-11) vs. Melquizael Costa (23-7)

ByFight Editor

The featherweight division delivers an exciting clash at UFC Fight Night 256, as Julian Erosa (31-11) takes on Melquizael Costa (23-7). Both fighters enter the bout on three-fight winning streaks, making this a pivotal matchup for divisional positioning.

Fighter Profiles & Recent Form

Julian Erosa

  • Record: 31-11
  • Age: 35
  • Height: 6’1″
  • Reach: 74.5″
  • Fight Style: Aggressive striker with submission skills
  • Recent Form: Erosa has won his last three fights, all via first-round stoppage. His victories over Ricardo Ramos, Christian Rodriguez, and Darren Elkins have showcased his ability to finish fights early.

Melquizael Costa

  • Record: 23-7
  • Age: 28
  • Height: 5’10”
  • Reach: 71″
  • Fight Style: Technical striker with strong grappling
  • Recent Form: Costa has also won three straight fights, including a submission victory over Andre Fili and a decision win over Christian Rodriguez. He has been highly active, fighting three times in 2025 already.

Fight Breakdown & Key Factors

Striking Battle

  • Erosa lands 6.4 significant strikes per minute, compared to Costa’s 4.2.
  • Costa has better striking defense (52%), while Erosa absorbs more damage due to his aggressive style.
  • Erosa thrives in chaotic exchanges, while Costa prefers a more technical approach.

Grappling & Ground Game

  • Erosa has 14 submission wins, making him dangerous in scrambles.
  • Costa has solid takedown defense (67%), limiting Erosa’s ability to control the fight on the ground.
  • If Costa initiates grappling, Erosa believes he can secure a D’Arce choke submission.

Cardio & Durability

  • Erosa has five-round experience, but his endurance has declined in recent fights.
  • Costa has never been finished in the UFC, showing strong durability.
  • If Erosa pushes the pace early, Costa’s stamina could be tested.

Costa’s technical striking and defensive awareness give him the edge, but Erosa’s finishing ability makes him dangerous. If Erosa can create chaos, he has a strong chance of securing an early stoppage. However, Costa’s composure and grappling defense could lead to a decision victory.

FIGHT ODDS

Julian Erosa                        + 175

Melquizael Costa             – 210

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 16, 2025

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