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MMA Match Preview: Jimmy Crute (12-4-2) vs. Marcin Prachnio (8-6)

Two fighters in search of momentum square off in a pivotal light heavyweight clash as Australia’s Jimmy Crute (12–4–2) takes on Poland’s Marcin Prachnio (8–6) at UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3, live from the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana. With both men coming off winless streaks, this bout could determine who remains relevant in the division—and who fades from the rankings.

Fight Details

EventInfo
DateSaturday, July 19, 2025
LocationSmoothie King Center, New Orleans
TimeEarly Prelims ~6:30 PM ET
BroadcastESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass
Weight ClassLight Heavyweight (205 lbs)
Rounds3

Fighter Breakdown

🇦🇺 Jimmy Crute

Age: 29

Height/Reach: 6’2″ / 74″

Stance: Orthodox

Team: Resilience Training Centre

Record: 12–4–2 (4 KO, 5 SUB)

Recent Form: Draw vs Rodolfo Bellato; prior losses to Alonzo Menifield, Jamahal Hill, and Anthony Smith

Strengths: Explosive grappling, leg kicks, submission transitions

Weaknesses: Defensive striking, chin vulnerability, momentum loss

Crute is a former top-15 contender whose early UFC success was built on aggressive takedowns and slick submissions. However, he’s winless in his last four and has struggled to adapt against powerful strikers. A win here is crucial to reignite his career.

🇵🇱 Marcin Prachnio

Age: 36

Height/Reach: 6’3″ / 74″

Stance: Orthodox

Team: Berkut WCA Fight Team

Record: 8–6 (6 KO)

Recent Form: Loss to Modestas Bukauskas; win over Devin Clark; prior losses to Vitor Petrino and Philipe Lins

Strengths: Karate-based striking, body kicks, movement

Weaknesses: Chin issues, grappling defense, inconsistency

Prachnio is a flashy striker with a karate background and knockout power, but his UFC tenure has been turbulent. He’s 2–4 in his last six and has been finished multiple times. He’ll need to keep the fight standing and avoid Crute’s grappling exchanges.

Tale of the Tape

AttributeCrutePrachnio
Height6’2″6’3″
Reach74″74″
Striking Accuracy53%48%
Takedown Accuracy60%0%
Takedown Defense50%55%
UFC Finish Rate75%75%

Key Storylines

Redemption Arc: Both fighters are on the brink—Crute hasn’t won since 2020, Prachnio is 1–3 in his last four

Style Clash: Crute’s grappling vs Prachnio’s karate striking—who imposes their rhythm first?

Durability Test: Both men have been finished multiple times—expect high stakes and urgency

Ranking Implications: Winner stays in the mix; loser may face release or a long road back

FIGHT ODDS

Jimmy Crute                       – 240

Marcin Prachnio               + 195

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 18, 2025

Wager Tracker All Sports Betting Log

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