MMA Match Preview: Gabriel Bonfim (18-1) vs. Randy Brown (20-6)
Venue & Event Details
Event: UFC Fight Night 264 – Bonfim vs. Brown
Location: UFC Apex, Enterprise (Las Vegas), Nevada
Start Time: Main card begins 7:00 p.m. ET; Bonfim vs. Brown walkouts ~9:45 p.m. ET
Broadcast: ESPN+ (USA), TNT Sports (UK)
Injury & Availability Report
Gabriel Bonfim: No reported injuries; cleared after July 2025 split-decision win vs. Stephen Thompson.
Randy Brown: No reported injuries; enters fight healthy following April 2025 KO win vs. Nicolas Dalby.
Recent Form & Fight History
Gabriel Bonfim
W vs. Stephen Thompson (SD, July 2025)
W vs. Trevin Giles (SUB, 2024)
L vs. Nicolas Dalby (TKO, 2023 – first career loss)
Style: High-pressure pace, elite grappling, submission-heavy arsenal.
Randy Brown
W vs. Nicolas Dalby (KO, April 2025)
W vs. Muslim Salikhov (UD, 2024)
L vs. Jack Della Maddalena (SUB, 2023)
Style: Long reach, counter-striking, veteran composure.
Betting Trends
Bonfim has finished 17 of 18 wins, mostly by submission.
Brown has alternated wins/losses but remains dangerous with reach and counter power.
Market leans toward Bonfim due to grappling edge and youth.
Public bettors favor Bonfim ML, while sharp bettors sprinkle Brown KO/TKO at plus odds.
Key Takeaway
This is a prospect vs. veteran main event: Bonfim brings relentless pressure and submission threats, while Brown offers length, counter-striking, and experience. Oddsmakers favor Bonfim, but Brown’s reach and knockout power make him a dangerous underdog in a stylistic clash that could end suddenly.
FIGHT ODDS
Gabriel Bonfim – 180
Randy Brown + 150
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, November 7, 2025
