MMA Match Preview: Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) vs. Renato Moicano (20-6-1)

Event: UFC 317

Division: Lightweight (155 lbs)

Rankings: Dariush (#9), Moicano (#12)

Odds: Moicano -115, Dariush -105

This is a pivotal bout for both fighters—Dariush seeks redemption after back-to-back first-round KO losses, while Moicano aims to solidify his rise after a brief detour in a short-notice title fight.

Fighter Breakdown

Beneil Dariush

Age: 35

Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt, strong wrestling base

Key Stats:

8 career submission wins

1.91 takedowns per 15 minutes

Notable wins: Tony Ferguson, Mateusz Gamrot, Diego Ferreira

Strengths:

Elite grappling and top control

Veteran fight IQ and composure

Effective when dictating pace with wrestling

Concerns:

Recent KO losses to Charles Oliveira and Arman Tsarukyan

Durability and reaction time under pressure

Path to Victory: Dariush must lean on his wrestling, avoid prolonged striking exchanges, and control the tempo on the ground.

Renato Moicano

Age: 35

Style: Muay Thai striker with slick BJJ

Key Stats:

10 career submission wins

4.36 significant strikes landed per minute

Recent wins: Benoît Saint Denis, Jalin Turner

Strengths:

Aggressive striking with high volume

Dangerous submission game, especially from the back

Improved cardio and fight pacing

Concerns:

Vulnerable chin (past KO losses)

Can be over-aggressive early

Path to Victory: Moicano will look to pressure Dariush with volume striking, then capitalize on scrambles or mistakes to hunt for a finish.

X-Factors & Intangibles

Momentum: Moicano has won 4 of his last 5, while Dariush is on a two-fight skid.

Experience: Dariush has faced tougher competition overall.

Motivation: Both fighters are 35 and see this as a make-or-break moment for a final title run.

FIGHT ODDS

Beneil Dariush                  + 100

Renato Moicano              – 120

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 27, 2025

RevGear

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