MMA Match Preview: Charles Oliveira (35-11, 1 NC) vs. Mateusz Gamrot (25-3, 1 NC)

Venue & Event Details

Event: UFC Fight Night 261: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Time: Main card 7:00 p.m. ET (Prelims 4:00 p.m. ET)

Division: Lightweight (155 lbs), 5 rounds

Injury Report

Charles Oliveira: Healthy, cleared to fight after June KO loss to Ilia Topuria.

Mateusz Gamrot: Healthy, stepping in on short notice after Rafael Fiziev’s withdrawal.

Fighter Matchups

Charles Oliveira (Brazil, 35 years old)

Record: 35-11 (10 KO/TKO, 21 SUB)

Height/Reach: 5’10”, 74” reach

Strengths: UFC record 16 submissions, dangerous Muay Thai clinch, opportunistic finisher.

Weaknesses: Durability concerns (5 career KO losses), hittable defense (48%).

Mateusz Gamrot (Poland, 34 years old)

Record: 25-3 (8 KO/TKO, 5 SUB)

Height/Reach: 5’10”, 70.5” reach

Strengths: Elite wrestling (5.3 takedowns per 15 min), suffocating top control, cardio.

Weaknesses: Limited striking power, relies heavily on grinding decisions.

Key Battle: Oliveira’s submission threats off his back vs. Gamrot’s ability to neutralize grapplers with smothering wrestling.

Records & Recent Form

Oliveira (Last 5): L-W-W-L-W – most recent: KO loss to Ilia Topuria (June 2025).

Gamrot (Last 5): W-L-W-W-W – most recent: UD win over Ľudovít Klein (May 2025).

Series History

First meeting between Oliveira and Gamrot.

Betting Trends

Oliveira: 33 of 35 wins by finish; 5-0 in UFC fights in Brazil.

Gamrot: 4-1 in last 5; never finished in his career.

Public split: roughly 55% leaning Oliveira, 45% Gamrot.

Oliveira has alternated wins and losses in last 6 fights.

FIGHT ODDS

Charles Oliveira                – 115

Mateusz Gamrot              – 105

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025