MMA Match Preview: Justin Tafa (7-5-0 1 NC) vs. Louie Sutherland (10-3-0)

Venue & Event Details

Event: UFC Fight Night 260: Ulberg vs. Reyes

Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Start Time (Main Card): Approx. 7:00 PM AWST (local) / 7:00 AM ET (U.S.)

Broadcast: ESPN+ (U.S.), TNT Sports (UK), UFC Fight Pass (international)

Injury / Availability Report

Justin Tafa (“Bad Man”): No reported injuries; cleared for competition. Coming off two consecutive stoppage losses.

Louie Sutherland (“The Vanilla Gorilla”): Healthy entering his UFC debut. No reported camp injuries.

Fighter Matchups

Justin Tafa (7–5, 1 NC)

Style: Southpaw brawler, heavy hands, one-punch KO power.

Strengths: Brutal knockout ability, fan-friendly striking.

Weaknesses: Limited ground game, cardio fades if dragged past Round 1.

Recent Form: On a two-fight skid (losses to Karl Williams and Tallison Teixeira).

Louie Sutherland (10–3, UFC debut)

Style: Technical striker, measured pace, championship experience in regional circuits.

Strengths: Composed stand-up, 8 career KOs, former Levels Fight League heavyweight champion.

Weaknesses: UFC inexperience, untested against elite grapplers.

Recent Form: Four-fight win streak, all by KO/TKO.

Recent Form & Fight History

Justin Tafa (Last 5):

L – Tallison Teixeira (TKO, R1)

L – Karl Williams (Decision)

NC – vs. Austen Lane (Eye poke)

W – Austen Lane (KO, R1)

W – Parker Porter (KO, R1)

Louie Sutherland (Last 5):

W – Levels Fight League HW Title (KO, R2)

W – Regional circuit (KO, R1)

W – Regional circuit (KO, R1)

W – Regional circuit (KO, R2)

L – Regional circuit (Decision)

 Betting Trends

Justin Tafa:

6 of 7 career wins by KO/TKO.

4 of last 5 fights ended in Round 1.

Struggles when fights go to decision (0–3 in UFC decisions).

Louie Sutherland:

8 of 10 wins by KO/TKO.

All 4 recent wins inside two rounds.

Making UFC debut — debutants historically cover as underdogs at ~46% rate in heavyweight division.

FIGHT ODDS

Justin Tafa                           – 150

Louie Sutherland             + 130

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, September 26, 2025