MMA Match Preview: Jose Daniel Medina (11-5-0) vs. Dusko Todorovic (12-6-0)

Event & Venue Details

Event: UFC Fight Night 259 — Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva

Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas, USA

Local Start Time: Prelims 5:00 PM CT / Main Card 8:00 PM CT

Broadcast: ESPN+ (U.S.), TNT Sports (UK), UFC Fight Pass (international)

Bout Billing: Featured Prelim — “Loser Leaves Town” stakes for both fighters

Injury & Availability Report

Jose Daniel Medina: No reported injuries; full camp preparation.

Dusko Todorovic: No reported injuries; cleared for competition.

Both fighters enter healthy, though each is coming off recent losses and will be under pressure to deliver a decisive performance.

Recent Form & Fight History

Jose Daniel Medina

Last 5: 2-3

Most Recent: Loss to Ateba Gautier (KO, knee, R1)

UFC Record: 0-2 (losses to Zach Reese & Gautier)

Style: Boxing-heavy striker; aggressive forward pressure; durable chin; limited wrestling.

Strengths: Power punching (8 career KOs), willingness to engage, short-notice readiness.

Weaknesses: Defensive lapses, limited ground game, struggles against rangy kickers.

Dusko Todorovic

Last 5: 1-4

Most Recent: Loss to Zach Reese (UD)

UFC Record: 3-6 (wins over Dequan Townsend, Maki Pitolo, Jordan Wright)

Style: Kickboxer with solid power; prefers mid-range striking; mixes in body work.

Strengths: Higher output (4.79 sig. strikes/min), diverse striking arsenal, experience against higher-level opposition.

Weaknesses: Questionable chin, cardio fade, porous striking defense.

Matchup Analysis

Striking: Todorovic is more active and varied, especially with kicks; Medina has heavier one-shot power.

Durability: Medina has shown a better chin historically, but both have been stopped multiple times.

Grappling: Neither fighter is likely to wrestle; expect a stand-up battle.

Pace & Cardio: Todorovic’s higher volume could win rounds if he avoids big shots; Medina’s best chance is an early KO.

Intangibles: Both are fighting for UFC roster survival — expect urgency and risk-taking.

Betting Trends

Line Movement: Opened with Todorovic around -275; money has pushed him toward -300/-340.

Public Action: Majority of public bets on Todorovic; some sharp money on Medina KO prop due to his power.

Prop Interest: “Fight doesn’t go the distance” is popular — both have high finish rates and defensive vulnerabilities.

Historical Trends: Todorovic is 0-3 in his last three fights; Medina has been finished in 1 of his 2 UFC bouts.

FIGHT ODDS

Jose Daniel Medina        + 285

Dusko Todorovic              – 350

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, September 12, 2025